Kings and Suns square off in Sac-Town

Basketball Betting Lines

02/11/2012 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After unseating the Western Conference-best Oklahoma City Thunder, the Sacramento Kings hope to keep the momentum going this evening versus the Pacific Division-rival Phoenix Suns at Power Balance Pavilion.

The Kings recorded their third straight win at home with Thursday's 106-101 victory over the Thunder in which Tyreke Evans and DeMarcus Cousins provided 22 and 19 points, respectively. Marcus Thornton hit two big three-pointers in the closing minutes and finished with 15 points for the Kings, who used an 18-4 run late in the game to win for the fourth time in five tries overall.

"We've improved as a team, we're on the right path now," Cousins said on the Kings' website. "We're a lot better than our record (10-16) shows. We've grown so much from the team we used to be."

Jason Thompson had 11 points and 10 rebounds to help Sacramento snap a six- game losing streak to the Thunder. The Kings scored 28 points off of 23 Thunder turnovers. OKC entered the game with the league's highest winning percentage.

After hosting the Suns in California's capital, the Kings will head east for a six-game road trip against Chicago, New York, Detroit, Cleveland, Miami and Washington. On the season, the Kings are 7-4 at home and 3-12 on the road. The last time the Kings won four straight home games was Nov. 25-Dec. 2, 2009.

Cousins has recorded 17 double-doubles this season (third-most in the NBA), while Evans has scored 20 or more points in three of the last four games. Thornton is averaging 19.4 ppg in his past four outings.

Phoenix looks to get back on the winning path in Sacramento tonight and had won a season-best three straight games until dropping a 96-89 decision versus the Houston Rockets Thursday in the Valley of the Sun.

The Suns, who will kick off a three-game road trip against the Kings, Warriors and Nuggets this evening, received a season-high 21 points and 10 rebounds from Channing Frye. Steve Nash, named to his eighth All-Star team on Thursday, did not miss a shot (7-for-7), scoring 14 points to go with 13 assists.

"We just didn't execute down the stretch," said Frye, who is averaging 18.0 points in his last three games. "We put a lot of pressure on ourselves to make every play and be perfect at the end and we can't do that. We have to make sure we are in a good rhythm and establish how we are going to play in the first half."

Marcin Gortat had 16 points and Jared Dudley recorded 14 in defeat. Phoenix struggled on the boards to the tune of a 44-31 difference and shot 47.3 percent for the game. Houston's bench outscored the Suns' reserves, 57-13.

Phoenix and Sacramento are playing the first of three meetings this season and will also battle on March 4 in Phoenix and April 3 at the Kings. Sacramento took three of four matchups from the Suns a year ago after Phoenix won all four encounters during the 2009-10 campaign. Phoenix has won 12 of the last 16 games in this series, but has dropped 14 of 22 trips to Sac-Town.

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Sportsbook Betting Lines

Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “

What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

How the Opening Line Is Made

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Why Sports Betting Lines Change

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

To visit this internet sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your sports betting needs and World Series odds.